To be honest, I can't vote on this one...
Because it all hinges on the (in)effectiveness of the fighters.
The Hydran/Rommie team is fielding something like 6x4 fighter squadrons (4x4 Hydran choice and 2x4 Rommie) against the Fed's (F18/F14) fighters and AMD.
The ISC is, by nature, poor in fighter defense, no AMD, and light armaments on the tail (6xPh-3 & 2xPh-1). Anti-fighter work was one of the primary reasons the I-torp was invented.
On the odd chance that the fighters do as ordered and rape the CAY, that leaves the DVL against an ID and "NHK", with whatever fighters survive on harassment duties. Big time phaser-boat battle, which will favor Coalition as they out-phaser & out-number the DVL.
If the fighters do as expected, and the Coalition fighters fall to Fed fighters & AMD, killing all Fed fighters in process, the battle will probably be Fed/ISC, as they can operate at longer ranges avoiding the heavy Rom plasma / Hydran gats. Gotta love PPDs, Proxies, and a ton of Ph-1...