Topic: In need of Refinement  (Read 978 times)

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Offline Jack Morris

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Offline Dracho

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Re: In need of Refinement
« Reply #1 on: September 13, 2005, 08:20:37 pm »
It occurs to me that the petrol slack is partly due to no new refineries, but mostly due to Just-in-time inventory theory, and the corporate trend to only have as much of a resource in the supply system as real-time demand calls for.

Hmmm....might be something to this..


JIT - Just-in-time

 An inventory strategy companies employ to increase efficiency and decrease waste by receiving goods only as they are needed in the production process, thereby reducing investory costs.

This method requires that producers are able to accurately forecast demand.

A good example would be a car manufacturer that operates with very low inventory levels, relying on their supply chain to deliver the parts they need to build cars. The parts needed to manufacture the cars do not arrive  before nor after they are needed, rather they arrive just as they are needed.

This inventory supply system represents a shift away from the older "just in case" strategy where producers carried large inventories in case higher demand had to be met
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Re: In need of Refinement
« Reply #2 on: September 14, 2005, 08:10:30 am »
I have heard that ONE oil refinery is being proposed and has been going thru the paper work for over a year.... I don't know if this article is about it or if this is a second proposal....

Virgin plans oil refinery
From: Reuters
By Deepa Babington in New York

September 14, 2005
 

THINK you are upset about high gas prices? Maverick British entrepreneur Richard Branson is so furious he wants to build his own oil refinery.
Like the rest of the airline industry, Mr Branson's Virgin Atlantic Airways has been stung by higher jet fuel prices and was forced to raise fuel surcharges for the second time in four months.

Hurricane Katrina sent oil prices soaring to $US70 a barrel because it shut several US Gulf Coast refineries, which turn crude oil into products like diesel, gasoline and jet fuel.

"If we don't start now to get more refineries built then fuel prices could literally rocket to $US100-$US200 (per barrel of oil) and the world economy would come to a grinding halt," Branson said in an interview on financial news network CNBC overnight.

Mr Branson did not say where he wants to put his refinery, but some analysts said he should not look to the US, where no one has built a refinery in 29 years.

"My immediate reaction to that is: Not in the US," said Paul Flemming, oil analyst at Energy Security Analysis Inc. "That's definitely more pie in the sky than anything."

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In the US, getting a permit could involve years of navigating local, state, and federal regulations and protests from environmental and community groups, analysts say.

But they note that people in other places would not be too keen to have an oil refinery in their backyards.

"If you're talking about a 400,000 barrels per day refinery next to a French Chateau in the Loire valley, the timeline is infinite," said Tim Evans, senior oil market analyst at IFR Energy Services.

"If you're looking at an industrialised part that already includes an oil refinery, it's much less of a big deal."

Mr Branson said plenty of places would welcome the jobs that a new refinery would create. "Some people will kick and scream, but they may be the same people screaming about the fact that they're having to pay enormous prices every time they get into the car."

But building a refinery to ease high fuel prices would be far from a quick fix: any refinery would take at least four or five years to build, if not longer.

And according to Energy Security Analysis' Flemming, another refinery would not ease record high crude oil prices as Branson suggests, since it would not increase actual crude oil production.

Mr Branson's idea does have some fans, however, among those concerned about the lack of competition in the refining industry, which is dominated by a few large companies.

"The oil companies themselves aren't interested in building new refineries and will tend to denigrate the chances of any new investors actually succeeding in their business," said Mr Evans of IFR Energy Services.

"They'll say, 'What does Richard Branson know about oil refineries?' He doesn't have to know about that part of the business, but he can easily see that oil refiners are making a margin far superior to what he's making in the airline business."
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