Commercial, not trying to be an ass about it, but 200 commercial fishing licenses can take an awful lot of fish. Without knowing what percentage of that is groupers as by-catch, that doesn't tell us anything about the actual numbers being caught - 3 million recreational fishing vessels which might go out once a year, fish by hook and line, and might not catch any grouper at all even if they catch fish, do not necessarily mean much in terms of what might be caught "by accident" by large-scale commercial vessels.
I won't be signing anything based on numbers until I can see if the numbers make sense. So far we haven't seen any relevant hard figures.